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Fig 1.

Tepezmaite cycads.

a) Ceratozamia brevifrons with female cone; b) C. morettii with male cone; c) C. tenuis with female cone.

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Fig 1 Expand

Fig 2.

Study area in the Sierra de Chiconquiaco, Veracruz, Mexico.

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Fig 2 Expand

Table 1.

Bioclimatic variables (names and units) used as predictors in the species distribution models of Tepezmaite cycads (Ceratozamia brevifrons, C. morettii, and C. tenuis).

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Table 1 Expand

Fig 3.

Potential distribution of the studied Ceratozamia species with the locations of occurrence of each species (points) in the Sierra de Chiconquiaco, Veracruz, Mexico; the grey shadow represents topographic relief.

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Fig 3 Expand

Table 2.

The threshold to categorize the suitability and evaluation metrics for the ESDM for each Ceratozamia studied.

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Table 2 Expand

Table 3.

Variable importance (%) for the ensemble species distribution model of each Ceratozamia studied.

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 4.

Potential distribution of Ceratozamia brevifrons a) in the past; b) present; c) future; C. morettii d) in the past; e) present; f) future; and C. tenuis g) in the past; h) present; i) future. Red: high suitability; Orange: medium.

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Fig 4 Expand

Table 4.

Projected suitability area (km2) of the three species of Ceratozamia studied in the various times past (last maximum glacial), present, and future (2080).

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Table 4 Expand

Table 5.

Percentage of change between the different periods of the studied Tepezmaite cycads.

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Table 5 Expand