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Fig 1.

Flow chart of case selection.

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Table 1.

Baseline characteristics and outcomes of the derivation and validation cohorts.

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Table 2.

Regression coefficients, odds ratios, and derived weights for each predictor of the two outcomes according to residence before admission in the derivation cohort.

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Fig 2.

Results of internal validation with calibration plots of the two models.

AUC, area under curve; 95% CI, confidence interval.

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Fig 3.

Results of internal-external validation with calibration plots of the two models.

AUC, area under curve; 95% CI, confidence interval.

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Fig 4.

Results of validation using calibration plots of probability scores of the two models.

The dots represent each probability score. The blue lines are the regression lines through the dots of the probability scores.

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Fig 5.

Nomogram for estimating the probability of home discharge for cases admitted from home.

Draw a vertical line upward from the corresponding value of each predictor to the points bar to obtain the points for each item. Based on the sum of the points for each item, draw a vertical line downward from the corresponding sum of the points to calculate the probability of home discharge. ADL were defined as the 10 components of the Barthel index (feeding, bathing, grooming, dressing, bowel control, bladder control, toilet use, transfers from bed to chair, mobility on level surfaces, and stairs). Malnutrition was defined as a serum albumin level of 3.0 g/dL or less, parenteral nutrition, or tube feeding at admission. Respiratory support included high-flow nasal cannula, noninvasive ventilation, and invasive mechanical ventilation.

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Fig 6.

Nomogram for estimating the probability of home/nursing home discharge for cases admitted from a nursing home.

Draw a vertical line upward from the corresponding value of each predictor to the points bar to obtain the points for each item. Based on the sum of the points for each item, draw a vertical line downward from the corresponding sum of the points to calculate the probability of home/nursing home discharge. ADL were defined as the 10 components of the Barthel index (feeding, bathing, grooming, dressing, bowel control, bladder control, toilet use, transfers from bed to chair, mobility on level surfaces, and stairs). Malnutrition was defined as a serum albumin level of 3.0 g/dL or less, parenteral nutrition, or tube feeding at admission. Respiratory support included high-flow nasal cannula, noninvasive ventilation, and invasive mechanical ventilation.

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Fig 6 Expand