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Fig 1.

Adjudication and social media engagement.

Fig 1(a) describes the expected increase in social media engagement, measured by faster Time-to-Retweet when electoral victory is adjudicated. Fig 1(b) describes the observed evolution of Time-to-Retweet in the observational data, Mauricio Macri’s defeat on October 11, 2019. (a) Theory, (b) Macri PASO Election.

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Fig 1 Expand

Fig 2.

Time-to-retweet in the UK election.

(a) Winners vs Losers, (b) High Authority Users, (c) Low Authority Users.

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Fig 2 Expand

Fig 3.

Time-to-retweet in the argentine election.

(a) Winners vs Losers, (b) High Authority Users, (c) Low Authority Users.

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Fig 3 Expand

Fig 4.

Time-to-Retweet in the Brazil Election.

(a) Winners vs Losers, (b) High Authority Users, (c) Low Authority Users.

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Fig 4 Expand

Fig 5.

Time-to-Retweet in the US Election.

(a) Winners vs Losers, (b) High Authority Users, (c) Low Authority Users.

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Fig 5 Expand

Table 1.

Adjudication in four cases: Information drift and adjudication effect.

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Table 1 Expand

Fig 6.

Adjudication effect.

Results at cutoff estimated with local linear regression with triangular kernel and MSE-optimal bandwidth. The figure reports 95% robust confidence intervals for the point estimates [32]. (a) UK Election, (b) Argentina Election, (c) Brazil Election, (d) US Election.

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Fig 6 Expand

Fig 7.

Toxicity scores of all the four election nights.

(a) UK Election, (b) Argentina Election, (c) Brazil Election, (d) US Election.

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Fig 7 Expand