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Fig 1.

Schematic of the proposed methodology.

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Table 1.

Summary statistics of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths for SAARC countries till January 29, 2022.

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Table 1 Expand

Fig 2.

Boxplot of meteorological variables for SAARC countries.

Max. tem: Maximum temperature; Min. temp: Minimum temperature; Rel. humidity: Relative humidity; S. pressure: Surface pressure; Max. w. speed: Maximum wind speed.

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Fig 2 Expand

Fig 3.

Time series plot showing the trend of COVID-19 confirmed cases for SAARC countries.

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Fig 4.

Cross-correlation between COVID-19 confirmed cases and meteorological variables in SAARC countries.

Max. temperature: Maximum temperature; Max. W. speed: Maximum Wind speed; CCF: Cross-Correlation Function.

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Fig 4 Expand

Table 2.

Estimated parameters with 95% confidence intervals of significant meteorological factors of ARIMAX models.

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Table 2 Expand

Fig 5.

Performance metrics of the ARIMAX and XGBoost models for predicting COVID-19 confirmed cases in SAARC countries.

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Fig 5 Expand