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Fig 1.

Markov model structure.

The health-state structure was published previously as part of the UK National Institute for Care and Excellence single technology appraisal committee papers [22]. PFS, progression free survival; TTP, time to progression; PPS, post-progression survival.

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Fig 1 Expand

Table 1.

Parameters of survival curve.

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Table 2.

Model parameters and distributions.

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Table 3.

Base case results: Discounted cost-effectiveness of durvalumab.

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 2.

Tornado diagram of one-way sensitivity analysis.

PF, progression free; IMRT, Intensity modulated radiotherapy; BSC, best supportive care.

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Fig 3.

Cost-effectiveness plane scatter plot.

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Fig 3 Expand

Fig 4.

Cost-effectiveness acceptable curve.

The acceptability curve shows the probability of a treatment being cost-effective over a range of willingness-to-pay thresholds. The curve shows that BSC is the most likely to be cost-effective until a willingness-to-pay threshold of 200,000 yuan is reached, after which durvalumab is most likely to be cost-effective.

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Fig 4 Expand

Table 4.

Comparison of cost-effectiveness studies on durvalumab.

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Table 4 Expand