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Fig 1.

Diagram of the water cycle in each subsystem.

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Fig 2.

The causal-loop diagram of the Chengdu water cycle system.

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Fig 3.

Diagram of Chengdu water resources supply and demand system.

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Table 1.

Interpretation of the key parameters.

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Table 2.

Relative errors of the main variables between simulated data and measured data.

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Table 3.

Variable standardization values for Chengdu between 2008 and 2018.

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Fig 4.

The simulated S:D ratio from 2005 to 2035.

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Fig 5.

Influence of nine key variables on the water supply and demand ratio (current simulation value).

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Table 4.

Parameters used for driving factors identification.

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Fig 6.

Optimization simulation results of household water conservation.

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Fig 7.

Optimization simulation results of industrial water conservation.

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Fig 8.

Optimization simulation results of agricultural water conservation.

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Fig 9.

Optimization simulation results of unconventional water resources use.

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Table 5.

Integrated optimization scenarios.

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Fig 10.

Integrated optimization simulation results.

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