Fig 1.
Outline of MINTRISK.
Fig 2.
Schematic overview of how qualitative input into MINTRISK is transformed into quantitative input that can be used for the model calculations and how results are subsequently transformed back into qualitative risk levels.
Table 1.
List of parameters used for calculations in MINTRISK.
Table 2.
Overview of causing pathogens, vertebrate host animals, arthropod vectors, and geographical distribution of four vector-borne diseasesa.
Table 3.
Pathways entered into MINTRISK to assess the introduction risk of each disease.
Fig 3.
Risk scores (median values) and their uncertainty (95% uncertainty interval) for the rate of introduction of four vector-borne diseases for the Netherlands via selected pathways.
AHS = African horse sickness; EHD = epizootic haemorrhagic disease; RVF = Rift Valley fever; WNF = West Nile fever.
Fig 4.
Risk scores (median values) and their uncertainty (95% uncertainty interval) for the estimated epidemic size of four vector-borne diseases for the Netherlands.
AHS = African horse sickness; EHD = epizootic haemorrhagic disease; RVF = Rift Valley fever; WNF = West Nile fever.
Fig 5.
Risk scores (median values) and their uncertainty (95% uncertainty interval) for the estimated impact of four vector-borne diseases for the Netherlands.
AHS = African horse sickness; EHD = epizootic haemorrhagic disease; RVF = Rift Valley fever; WNF = West Nile fever.
Fig 6.
Risk scores (median values) and their uncertainty (95% uncertainty interval) for the overall risk estimate of four vector-borne diseases for the Netherlands.
AHS = African horse sickness; EHD = epizootic haemorrhagic disease; RVF = Rift Valley fever; WNF = West Nile fever.
Fig 7.
Risk profile diagram indicating how the rate of introduction and the economic impact contribute to the overall risk estimate.
Dots indicate the median values for each disease with the lines enclosing the 95% uncertainty interval. Values outside the dotted square (i.e. beyond 0 and 1) indicate an extremely low (<0) or an extremely high (>1) risk. AHS = African horse sickness; EHD = epizootic haemorrhagic disease; RVF = Rift Valley fever; WNF = West Nile fever.