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Table 1.

Covariates and previous findings.

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Fig 1.

The COVID-19 daily cases.

Dots represent daily cases averaged over a 7-day window, and curves are fitted based on the logistic growth model. Example countries are arranged from top left to bottom right in order of increasing basic reproduction number (R0).

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Fig 1 Expand

Fig 2.

Estimated basic reproduction numbers (R0) for countries across the globe.

Gray countries are not included in our analysis.

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Fig 2 Expand

Fig 3.

Mixed GAM derived partial effects (smoother plot) of the covariates, on R0.

Circles are partial residuals, and red shades are 95% confidence intervals.

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Fig 3 Expand

Fig 4.

Country profiles.

The four characteristics (youth, city, social media, and GINI inequality) with the lowest p-values in the mixed effect GAM are plotted (centred and standardized) for 8 countries representing, from top left to bottom right in the legend, increasing R0. Red dashed lines represent alternative high R0 profiles based on the mixed effects GAM model.

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Fig 4 Expand