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Table 1.

Descriptive statistics of COVID-19 cases.

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Fig 1.

Applied study steps for ARIMA and STARIMA model.

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Fig 2.

Time series plot of daily confirmed cases of COVID-19.

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Fig 3.

Time series plot of the differenced daily confirmed cases of COVID-19.

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Fig 4.

ACF and PACF of the differenced series.

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Table 2.

The results of ARIMA model.

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Fig 5.

Residuals analysis plots of the three ARIMA model.

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Table 3.

Spatial weight matrix of order and one.

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Fig 6.

STACF and STPACF of the differenced series.

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Table 4.

The results of the estimated STARIMA models.

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Table 5.

Accuracy measures of STARIMA models.

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Fig 7.

STACF and STPACF of STARIMA (10,1,11) residuals.

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Table 6.

Accuracy measures of predictive power for ARIMA and STARIMA models.

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