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Fig 1.

DAG of determinants of reported COVID-19 cases on the district level.

Unobserved variables are light gray, variables marked with an asterisk (*) are confounded by weekday/holiday.

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Table 1.

Observed model variables.

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Table 1 Expand

Table 2.

Descriptive statistics for observed variables.

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Fig 2.

Temporal and district level variation of outcome (log-scale).

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Fig 3.

Temporal variation of outcome and main determinants.

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Table 3.

Effect estimates from causal graph analysis.

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 4.

Relative causal effects of exposures.

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Table 4.

Final adjustment sets for causal analysis.

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