Fig 1.
The counties of Fars Province, Iran, and the number of COVID-19 infected case identified from March 29, 2020.
Fig 2.
The methodological framework followed in this study.
Fig 3.
Preparation of effective factors of COVID-19 outbreak.
Fig 4.
Preparation of effective factors of COVID-19 outbreak.
Fig 5.
Preparation of effective factors of COVID-19 outbreak.
Fig 6.
Variable importance of each effective factors (bus: Distance from bus stations; hospital: Distance from hospitals; bakery: Distance from bakeries; atm: Distance from ATMs; attraction: Distance from attraction sites; fuel: Distance from fuel stations; mosque: Distance from mosques; road: Distance from road; bio6: MTCM; city: Density of cities; village: Density of villages; bank: Distance from banks; bio13: MTWM; footprint: HFP, bio14: PWM; bio5: PDM).
Fig 7.
The COVID-19 outbreak risk map a) on March 29, 2020 and b) on April 10, 2020.
Fig 8.
Growth rate of active cases in the world, Iran, and Fars Province (From 25 February to 10 June 2020).
Fig 9.
Growth rate of death cases in the world, Iran, and Fars Province (From 2 March to 10 June 2020).
Fig 10.
Results of active cases in 31 provinces of Iran country by March 25, 2020.
Table 1.
Comparison of age in death cases of China, Iran, and Fars Province.
Fig 11.
Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve based on testing data from March 20, 2020.
Table 2.
Area under the curve based on data from March 20, 2020.
Fig 12.
Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve based on data from March 29, 2020.
Fig 13.
Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve based on data from April 10, 2020.
Table 3.
Area under the curve based on data from March 29, 2020.
Table 4.
Area under the curve based on data from April 10, 2020.
Fig 14.
Actual cases versus estimated cases in Fars province and Iran (From 25 February to 10 June 2020).
Table 5.
The results of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model for COVID-19 infection cases of Fars province and Iran.