Table 1.
Total confirmed infected cases (up to 10th March), emergency action start date and characteristics of logistic growth curves of epidemic progress in mainland China (excluding Hubei) and other 20 provinces with at least 150 cases of SARS-CoV2.
Ratio refers to the sick cases at peak to the total number of infected cases at action date.
Fig 1.
Fitted epidemic curves based on the observed data of SARS-CoV2 in China excluding Hubei (thick solid lines), Hubei (dashed lines), and 19 other provinces (thin solid lines).
The y-axis of the top panel shows the number of cases relative to the maximum cumulative infected for each region (the value a, see Methods). The bottom panel shows the daily change on the same relative scale. Red, green and grey colors indicate confirmed, recovered and deceased cases. Orange color indicates the number of “active” sick cases (relative to total infected, top panel), i.e. infected and not yet recovered or deceased, and the daily changes (bottom panel), with negative values in the lower panel indicating that the number of active cases is decreasing. Fitted and observed values for the true number can be found in S2 and S3 Figs.