Fig 1.
Annual dengue incidence in China, Guangdong, and Guangzhou from 2011 to 2015 respectively.
Fig 2.
Temporal distribution of dengue fever cases in Guangzhou, 2011–2015.
Fig 3.
The decomposition plot of local dengue cases in the study areas from January 2011 to December 2015.
Fig 4.
Auto-correlation and partial auto-correlation plots of dengue cases, 2011–2015.
Table 1.
Cross-correlation analysis between dengue cases and average temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, DBSI.
Fig 5.
Monthly observed DF cases and fitted local DF cases using two different models from January 2011 to June 2015.
Fig 6.
Auto-correlation and partial auto-correlation of residuals.
(a) ACF/PACF plot of the Pearson residual of the GAM. (b) ACF/PACF plot of the Pearson residual of the GAMM.
Fig 7.
Scatter plot of residuals for predicted values using two different models and dates.
(a) Scatter plot of residual for predicted values and dates in the GAM. (b) Scatter plot of residual for predicted values and dates in the GAMM.
Fig 8.
Observations and model predictions of DF case using two different models from July 2015 to December 2015.