Table 1.
Eleven economically-significant tephritid pest species present in Australia.
Fig 1.
Hotspot maps of habitat suitability for the 11 fruit fly species under climate change, when novel environments are included.
Hotspot maps of baseline (1960–1990) and future habitat suitability for 11 fruit flies. Suitability was modelled with Maxent, and thresholded using the 10th percentile of suitability at training presence localities. These maps include projections under novel environments (see S1 File for individual species maps with novel environments included). Colours indicate the number of species for which habitat is projected to be suitable under the majority (≥ 4) future climate scenarios. Figure was created in R version 3.3.3 [57] (https://www.R-project.org/).
Fig 2.
Hotspot maps of habitat suitability for the 11 fruit fly species under climate change, when novel environments are excluded.
Hotspot maps of baseline (1960–1990) and future habitat suitability for 11 fruit flies. Suitability was modelled with Maxent, and thresholded using the 10th percentile at training presence localities. These maps exclude regions containing novel environments (see S1 File for individual species maps with novel environments excluded). Colours indicate the number of species for which habitat is projected to be suitable under the majority (≥ 4) future climate scenarios. Figure was created in R version 3.3.3 [57] (https://www.R-project.org/).
Table 2.
Percentage (%) of Australia projected to be suitable for the 11 fruit fly species considered in this study, under baseline (1960–1990) and future climates.