Fig 1.
Model domain, bathymetry (background scale), included rivers (red stars) and polygons (yellow lines) defining the different regions considered for rivers’ basins.
Table 1.
Institutes/modelling groups providing the atmospheric model data used in the present contribution.
Table 2.
Basin names and included rivers.
Fig 2.
Relative change on P for each catchment area for MPI RCP4.5 scenario (A), EC-Earth RCP4.5 scenario (B), MPI RCP8.5 scenario (C) and EC-Earth RCP8.5 scenario (D).
The 0% change level is indicated with a bold black line.
Table 3.
Computed annual changes in freshwater flow for the different model/rcp combinations.
Fig 3.
Mean P change (%) for each river basin district and model/RCP combination.
Table 4.
Basin-integrated anomalies for the different model/emission scenario runs (absolute and relative changes with respect to the baseline future).
Fig 4.
SSS, SST and Cla anomalies maps (simulation flow modified—simulation flow cte) for the period 2095–2100 and for the different models/emission scenarios.
Fig 5.
Scatter plots of SST anomalies versus Chla anomalies for the different models/emission scenarios.
Fig 6.
Correlation coefficient (R) maps of monthly SST anomalies vs. Chla anomalies at each model node for the different models/emission scenarios.
Non-significant correlations (at 99%) are blanked.
Table 5.
Statistics of the correlations shown in Fig 6.
Percentage of the total basin where each type of correlation (positive, red color in Fig 6 or negative, blue color in Fig 6) is present. Mean depth of the nodes (model locations) where each type of correlation is computed. Mean value of all correlation coefficients (R) for each type of relationships.
Fig 7.
Correlation coefficient (R) maps of monthly SST anomalies vs. Chla anomalies at each model node for the different models/emission scenarios.
‘Bloom’ period corresponds to February-March-April while ‘no-bloom’ period corresponds to July-August-September. Non-significant correlations (at 99%) are blanked.
Table 6.
Statistics of the correlations SST vs. Cla shown in Fig 7.
The bloom period corresponds to the months February-April-March while the non-bloom period correspond to the months July-August-September.
Fig 8.
Correlation coefficient (R) maps of monthly AONB (α/β) anomalies vs. Chla anomalies at each model node for the different models/emission scenarios.
Non-significant correlations (at 99%) are blanked.