Table 1.
Data sources used in the model†.
Fig 1.
Overview of the SD model structure for the entire urban population.
Table 2.
Estimated transference rates between BMI categories by age group for the entire urban population †.
Table 3.
Estimated transference rates between BMI categories by age and SES group†.
Fig 2.
Overview of the SD model structure stratified by SES.
Fig 3.
Estimated transference rates between BMI categories by age group.
Not overweight to overweight (τ1), overweight to obese (τ2), obese to overweight (τ3), and overweight to not overweight (τ4).
Fig 4.
Estimated prevalence rates by BMI category over time.
(A) Not overweight, (B) overweight, and (C) obese. Blue = 2005; Green = 2010; Red = 2020; Orange = 2030.
Fig 5.
Estimated transference rates between BMI categories by age and SES.
(A) Not overweight to overweight (τ1), (B) overweight to obese (τ2), (C) obese to overweight (τ3), and (D) overweight to not overweight (τ4).
Fig 6.
Estimated prevalence rates of BMI categories by age and SES groups.
(A) Not overweight, lower SES; (B) not overweight, middle SES; (C) not overweight, higher SES; (D) overweight, lower SES; (E) overweight, middle SES; (F) overweight, higher SES; (G) obese, lower SES; (H) obese, middle SES; and (I) obese, higher SES. Blue = 2005; Green = 2010; Red = 2020; Orange = 2030.
Fig 7.
Obesity prevalence ratio amongst urban adults aged 20 to 59 years.
Fig 8.
Estimated prevalence rates of BMI categories, by age group, under two scenarios.
(A) Overweight prevalence rates under scenario 1; (B) obese prevalence rates under scenario 1; (C) overweight prevalence rates under scenario 2; (D) obese prevalence rates under scenario 2.