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Table 1.

Environmental variables used for the final Maxent model.

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Table 2.

Accuracy metrics for the predicted distribution for Maxtent model using 12 variables.

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Fig 1.

Predicted ecological suitability (>80%) for Bacillus anthracis.

The red areas (greater than 0.8 probability) indicate areas of increased Bacillus anthracis ecological suitability and black rectangles indicate the three most suitable areas (A. Pafuri, B. Shingwedzi, C. Letaba) for B. anthracis detection in Kruger National Park.

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Table 3.

Threshold point values (>0.8) for the twelve environmental variables and the three most suitable areas identified by the model in Kruger National Park for Bacillus anthracis occurrence (see Fig 1).

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 2.

Three most ecologically suitable habitats for Bacillus anthracis areas in Kruger National Park.

The following suitable areas for the harbouring of B. anthracis spores within the soil was identified using maximum entropy as a statistical model, a range of environmental predictors and anthrax occurrence data: (A) Pafuri in the northern Kruger National Park, (B) Shingwedzi river system and (C) Letaba / Olifants sections.

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Fig 2 Expand