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Fig 1.

Epidemic curves for (A) point-source exposure and (B) propagated transmission.

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Table 1.

Daily count distributions of tested syndrome baselines.

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Table 1 Expand

Table 2.

Characteristics of simulated temporal injects, daily counts.

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Table 2 Expand

Table 3.

Characteristics of simulated spatial injects, daily counts.

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Table 3 Expand

Table 4.

Candidate methods for evaluation.

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Table 4 Expand

Table 5.

Metrics for temporal methods for citywide injects at specificity 0.95.

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Table 5 Expand

Fig 2.

Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve for tested temporal methods.

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Fig 2 Expand

Fig 3.

ROC curve of spatial and spatio-temporal methods, all outbreak types.

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Fig 3 Expand

Fig 4.

ROC curves of spatial and spatio-temporal methods, by inject magnitude.

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Fig 4 Expand

Fig 5.

ROC curves of spatial and spatio-temporal methods, by inject type.

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Fig 5 Expand

Table 6.

Programming metrics for tested methods.

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Table 6 Expand