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Fig 1.

Event tree of ASF /CSF introduction into the US by the legal imports of live pigs.

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Fig 2.

Event tree of ASF/ CSF introduction into the US by the legal imports of swine products.

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Table 1.

Pig and swine products imports to the US and disease status of the countries of origin.

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Table 2.

Description of input parameters and probabilities used in the quantitative models for the release and exposure assessment of the risk of ASF / CSF introduction into the US through legal imports of live pigs.

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Table 3.

Description of input parameters and probabilities used in the quantitative models for the assessment of the risk of ASFV/ CSFV release into the US through legal imports of swine products.

Note: the information about the inputs marked with* is listed in Table 2.

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Table 3 Expand

Table 4.

Input parameters and probabilities used in the quantitative models for the assessment of the exposure of US swine populations to imported swine products (PEP).

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Fig 3.

Final risk of ASF/ CSF introduction by legal imports of live swine into the US.

The graduated color map represents the final risk (release*exposure) from the highest (darker) to the lowest (lighter).

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Fig 4.

Risk maps of ASFv and CSFv release by legal imports of swine products.

(A) Risk of ASFv release into the US. (B) Risk of CSFv release in to the US. The graduated color maps represent the risk from the highest (darker) to the lowest (lighter).

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Fig 5.

Risk of exposure to legal imports of swine products.

The graduated color map represents the risk from the highest (darker) to the lowest (lighter) of US susceptible swine populations being exposed to the legally imported swine products.

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Fig 6.

Final risk of ASF and CSF introduction by legal imports of swine products.

The graduated color maps represent the final risk (release *exposure) from the highest (darker) to the lowest (lighter). (A) Risk of ASF introduction into the US by legal imports of swine products. (B) Risk of CSF introduction into the US by legal imports of swine products.

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Fig 7.

Advanced sensitivity analysis for the models of ASF/CSF risk of introduction by pigs imports.

The spider graph plots the percent change of the selected input parameters against the output results.

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Fig 8.

Advanced sensitivity analysis for the models of ASF/CSF risk of introduction by swine products imports.

The spider graph plots the percent change of the selected input parameters against the output results.

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Fig 8 Expand