Fig 1.
Mean potential shift in the pollinator occurrence probability related to projected climate change for 2050 in the Brazilian municipalities where the 13 analyzed crops are produced.
Values vary from -1 (decrease of 100% in pollinator occurrence probability; red to yellow) to +1 (increase of 100%; green to blue). Blank areas correspond to the municipalities where there is no production of the analyzed crops.
Fig 2.
A) Frequency of municipalities that will face potential negative and positive shifts in pollinator occurrence probability considering the gross domestic product (GDP); B) the percentage of the production of the analyzed crops in the total GDP (acerola was not included due to the lack of data); and C) population.
Table 1.
Shifts for each crop analyzed considering A) the decrease and B) the increase in the pollinator occurrence probability and the number of municipalities potentially affected (scientific name of each crop can be found in S1 Table).
Fig 3.
Potential shift in the pollinator occurrence probability related to projected climate change for 2050 in the Brazilian municipalities where each crop is produced.
Values vary from -1 (decrease of 100% in pollinator occurrence probability; red to yellow) to +1 (increase of 100%; green to blue). Crops have different levels of dependence on animal pollination (according to Giannini et al. 2015b). The list of pollinators for each crop can be found in S1 Table.