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Fig 1.

Location of Zhangye oasis.

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Table 1.

Calibrated weighting coefficients for the SD-CLUES-S model in the study area (significance of all variables at p<0.01).

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Fig 2.

General input and validation data for the SD-CLUE-S model.

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Table 2.

Scenario design based on critical indicators in the study area.

‘S1’ is the historical land-use demand scenario reflecting land demand growth as a continuation of the historical period. ‘S2’ is the moderate protection scenario in which land demand growth was limited by setting critical indicators of economic and social development. ‘S3’ is the strict protection scenario in which land demand growth was simulated with multiple strict protections in the study area.

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Table 3.

Carbon pools of different land-use types in InVEST (units: MgC•ha−1).

Ca’ refers to the aboveground biomass. ‘Cb’ refers to the belowground biomass. ‘Cs’ refers to the soil organic carbon. ‘Cd’ refers to the dead organic matter.

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Fig 3.

General modeling framework of the integrated SD-CLUE-S and InVEST model.

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Fig 4.

Predicted land demand area in the oasis under three scenarios from 2009 to 2018 (units: km2).

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Fig 5.

Simulations of oasis land use in 2018 under scenarios S1, S2, and S3.

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Table 4.

Oasis carbon storage based on InVEST and land-use change in 2000, 2009, S1, S2, and S3.

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Fig 6.

Carbon storage in the oasis for 2000, 2009, and 2018 under different scenarios.

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