Fig 1.
Cross-validation compared to disaggregation across five simulated sample sizes (n = 99 simulations).
Figure shows mean absolute error across the MRP results and disaggregation of the full sample at the district level. The analysis is for five variables: belief that climate change is happening, belief that cliamte change is at least partly human-caused, belief that climate change is mostly human-caused, support for cap and trade, and support for a carbon tax. For each variable, we average across five districts.
Table 1.
Top 10 and Bottom 10 Canadian Federal Electoral Districts, % Population who believe that Earth is getting warmer.
Fig 2.
Estimates of Canadian public belief that the Earth is getting warmer partly or mostly because of human activities.
Estimated at the federal electoral district (riding) level.
Fig 3.
Estimates of Canadian public support for emissions trading at the provincial level.
Fig 4.
Support for a carbon tax in Canada at the federal electoral district (riding) level.
Table 2.
Top 10 and Bottom 10 Canadian Federal Electoral Districts% Population who Support Carbon Cap and Trade Policy.
Fig 5.
Belief that Earth is getting warmer across North America.
Canadian data comes from this new data set at the district (riding) level. US data is presented at the Congressional District level from a data set by [15].