Fig 1.
Eastern Mediterranean Sea with indication of the 5 high use sites for loggerheads.
Fig 2.
Climate model projections of mating period SST and Ta and corresponding projections of the day of first female emergence through the 21st century.
(A) Means of the projected changes in SST from 13 climate models (RCP 8.5) during the mating season for Crete and Zakynthos/Kyparissia. (B) Projections of the day of first female emergence through 2100 based on climate model estimations of the increase in SST during the mating season at Zakynthos Island. (C) Means of the projected changes in Ta from 14 atmospheric models (RCP 8.5) during the mating season for Crete and Zakynthos/Kyparissia. (D) Projections of the day of first female emergence through 2100 based on atmospheric model estimations on the increase in Ta during the mating season at Zakynthos Island.
Fig 3.
Observed and future projections of mean annual SST for the five high use regions.
(A) Mean annual SST at the 5 high use areas for loggerheads in the Mediterranean. Solid lines are the linear trend lines (Adriatic R2 = 0.311; Aegean R2 = 0.560; Crete R2 = 0.674; Gabès R2 = 0.474; Zak/Kyp R2 = 0.393). (B) Means of the projected changes in annual SST from 13 climate models (RCP 8.5) for the 5 high use sites.
Fig 4.
Relationship between number of nests per season and foraging site SST two years prior.
(A) Relationship between number of nests per season at Zakynthos (1984–2009) and the mean annual SST at the 5 foraging sites 2 years prior. Solid line is the linear trend line (R2 = 0.190). (B) Relationship between number of nests per season at Rethymno (1990–2004) and the mean annual SST at the foraging sites (Gulf of Gabès, Aegean Sea and Crete) 2 years prior. Solid line is the linear trend line (R2 = 0.572).
Fig 5.
Means of the projected changes in precipitation rates from fourteen atmospheric models (RCP 8.5) during the mating season for Crete and Zakynthos/Kyparissia.