Fig 1.
4 Steps used in the Northeast Fisheries Climate Vulnerability Assessment.
For more details see the NMFS Climate Vulnerability Assessment Methodology [34].
Fig 2.
Map of Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf Large Marine Ecosystem.
Table 1.
Species included in the Northeast Fisheries Climate Vulnerability Assessment.
Assigned functional group, common name, and scientific name of the 82 fish and invertebrate species included in the Northeast Fisheries Climate Vulnerability Assessment.
Table 2.
Climate Exposure Factors and Sensitivity Attributes.
List of climate exposure factors and sensitivity attributes used in the climate vulnerability assessment. See NMFS Climate Vulnerability Assessment Methodology for more details [34].
Table 3.
Logic rule for calculating overall species’ climate exposure and biological sensitivity.
The scoring rubric is based on a logic model where a certain number of individual scores above a certain threshold are used to determine the overall climate exposure and overall biological sensitivity.
Fig 3.
Overall climate vulnerability score.
For species names and functional groups see Table 1. Overall climate vulnerability is denoted by color: low (green), moderate (yellow), high (orange), and very high (red). Certainty in score is denoted by text font and text color: very high certainty (>95%, black, bold font), high certainty (90–95%, black, italic font), moderate certainty (66–90%, white or gray, bold font), low certainty (<66%, white or gray, italic font).
Fig 4.
Potential for a change in species distribution.
Potential was calculated using a subset of sensitivity attributes. Colors represent low (green), moderate (yellow), high (orange) and very high (red) potential for a change in distribution. Certainty in score is denoted by text font and text color: very high certainty (>95%, black, bold font), high certainty (90–95%, black, italic font), moderate certainty (66–90%, white or gray, bold font), low certainty (<66%, white or gray, italic font).
Fig 5.
Directional effect of climate change.
Colors represent expected negative (red), neutral (tan), and positive (green) effects. Certainty in score is denoted by text font and text color: very high certainty (>95%, black, bold font), high certainty (90–95%, black, italic font), moderate certainty (66–90%, white or gray, bold font), low certainty (<66%, white or gray, italic font).
Fig 6.
Average climate exposure scores across all species (A) and results of sensitivity analysis for the effect of individual exposure factors on overall climate vulnerability (B).
Fig 7.
Biological sensitivity attributes.
Average sensitivity attribute scores across all species (A) and results of sensitivity analysis for the effect of individual sensitivity attributes on overall climate vulnerability scores (B).
Fig 8.
Functional groups and climate vulnerability.
Number of species from each functional group by overall climate vulnerability (A), potential for distribution change (B), and directional effect of climate change (C).