Fig 1.
Average infectious period under the simulation study.
Illustration of the average infectious period under the simulation study. The average incubation period is 3 days, and the average delay to disease recovery and removal from the population is 4 days. The ‘S’ symbol indicates the individual is susceptible to the disease at that time point and the ‘R’ symbol indicates the individual has recovered from the disease and has been removed from the population at that time point.
Fig 2.
Posterior results for full MCMC and SRS methods.
Posterior means and 95% credible intervals for α, β, and λz for the full MCMC and SRS methods for 10 different epidemics simulated from the data augmented spatial ILM with varying sampling proportions. The dashed, horizontal lines represent the true parameter values: α = 1.4, β = 2.3, and , with a population of size n = 625.
Fig 3.
Full posterior results for full MCMC and spatial stratification methods.
Posterior means and 95% credible intervals for α, β, and λz for the full MCMC and spatial stratification methods for 10 different epidemics simulated from the data augmented spatial ILM with varying values for m and ρ. The dashed, horizontal lines represent the true parameter values: α = 1.4, β = 2.3, and , with a population of size n = 625.
Table 1.
Average computation time for the simulation studies.
Fig 4.
Posterior results for FMD-ILM using the SRS method.
Posterior means and 95% credible intervals for all parameters of the data augmented FMD-ILM under the SRS method. The results are compared to the full model to assess accuracy.
Fig 5.
Posterior results for FMD-ILM using the spatial stratification method.
Posterior means and 95% credible intervals for all parameters of the data augmented FMD-ILM under the spatial stratification method. We sampled ρ = 0.50 from each stratum. The results are compared to the full model.
Table 2.
Computation times for the FMD-ILM.