Fig 1.
Map of the Korean Peninsula in the East Asia.
The map of East Asia was obtained from www.thoughtyoumayask.com and then modified. The latitudinal range of Korean Peninsula is 33°N to 43°N and the longitudinal range 124°E to 132°E.
Fig 2.
Sampling sites of cold-evergreens in the Korean Peninsula.
Presence/absence on the sampling sites were obtained from Koo (2000). Sampling sites close to each other were separated into test data set and training data set to avoid biases from autocorrelation among data.
Table 1.
Species information of the cold evergreen broadleaved woody plants in the Korean Peninsula.
Table 2.
23 climate variables: 19 bioclimate and 4 seasonal mean temperature variables considered in this study.
Table 3.
Summary of MMI model selection statistics for the set of candidate models (i) predicting presence of cold-evergreens and (b) the model averaged estimate for each parameter.
Table 4.
Summary of MMI model selection statistics for the model averaged parameter estimates.
Table 5.
A confusion matrix.
Table 6.
Model validation statistics.
Fig 3.
(A) Mean climatic suitability of the cold-evergreens according to the multimodel weighted average; (B) 95% confidence interval (CI) of estimates; (C) ratio of between-model variation to within-model variation.
Fig 4.
Climate Change effects on the cold-evergreens' distributions in the Korean Peninsula.
The suitability projection of cold-evergreens according to the multimodel weighted average in 2050 under RCP4.5 scenario (a); in 2070 under RCP 4.5 (b); in 2050 under RCP 8.5 (c); and in 2070 under RCP 8.5 (d).
Fig 5.
Climate change effects on the areal changes of cold-evergreens.
The geographical ranges were predicted using the sensitivity = specificity threshold of 0.38 under the current and future climate conditions.