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Fig 1.

Estimated annual AIDS-related deaths by country, 2013.

Number and percentage of estimated 1.5 million (1.4 million–1.7 million) global AIDS-related deaths in the eight highest burden countries for 2013.

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Fig 2.

Global AIDS-related death rate per 1000 people living with HIV in 2013.

Map of AIDS death rate per 1000 people living with HIV for 2013 for 30 high AIDS mortality burden countries and eight high-income countries. UNAIDS AIDS-related deaths estimates for 2013 are not available for countries shown in grey. Countries in white were not included in analyses.

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Fig 3.

Trends in estimated death rate per 1000 people living with HIV, 2001–2013.

Comparison of trends of estimated AIDS-related death rate per 1000 people living with HIV for selected high, middle and low-income countries from 2001 to 2013. Data from UNAIDS AIDSinfo data tool,18 the 2012 and 2013 UNAIDS Global Reports2 and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Diagnoses of HIV Infection in the United States and Dependent Areas, 2011: HIV Surveillance Report, Volume 23.

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Table 1.

Estimated deaths per 1000 people living with HIV for top 30 countries with the highest burden of estimated AIDS deaths, 2013.

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Fig 4.

Trends in estimated new infections, AIDS-related deaths and ART coverage in Nigeria and South Africa, 1990–2013.

Trends with uncertainty bounds for new infections (red), AIDS-related deaths (blue), and ART coverage percentage (green), 1990 to 2013. ART coverage is calculated as the percentage of people reported on ART among the estimated people living with HIV for the same time period.

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Fig 5.

Projected estimated deaths averted by ART coverage scenarios for South Africa and Nigeria, 1990–2020.

Projected deaths averted by ART expansion scenarios for South Africa and Nigeria. Reference baseline is projected deaths in the absence of ART (No ART scenario) which is compared to 1) maintenance of current ART coverage levels till 2020 (Current ART Coverage scenario); 2) expansion of access to 90% ART coverage rates of people eligible under WHO 2013 guidelines by 2020 (2013 WHO Guidelines scenario) and 3) UNAIDS “90-90-90” target or 81% of people living with HIV on ART by 2020 (90-90-90 Scenario). The estimated deaths averted represent the total difference from the No ART scenario.

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