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Figure 1.

Brief outline of the augmented backward elimination procedure.

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Table 1.

Simulation study: bias and root mean squared error (RMSE) of regression coefficients of a continuous exposure variable in unselected models, models selected by backward elimination (BE) and models selected by augmented backward elimination (ABE) for linear, logistic and Cox regression.

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Table 2.

Urine osmolarity example: demographic and clinical characteristics of all 245 patients at baseline.

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Figure 2.

Urine osmolarity example: selection path (left column) of standardized regression coefficients and model stability (inclusion frequencies) in bootstrap resamples (right column) for backward elimination (BE) and augmented backward elimination (ABE).

First row: BE with ; second row: ABE with and ; third row: ABE with and . Abbreviations: ABE, augmented backward elimination; BE, backward elimination; log2UOsm, log2 of urine osmorality; log2CCL, log2 of creatinine clearance; log2Prot, log2 of proteinuria; BBlock, use of beta-blockers; PKD, presence of polycystic kidney disease; Diur, use of diuretics; Age, age in decades; ACEI, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and Angiotensin II type 1 receptor blockers; MAP, mean arterial pressure.

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Figure 3.

Urine osmolarity example: number of selected variables in the final models of bootstrap resamples for backward elimination BE with and augmented backward elimination ABE with and .

The highlighted bars indicate the number of selected variables in the original sample. Abbreviations and symbols: , significance threshold; ABE, augmented backward elimination; BE, backward elimination; , change-in-estimate threshold;.

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Table 3.

Urine osmolarity example: final models selected by backward elimination (BE) with a significance threshold , augmented backward elimination (ABE) with and a change-in-estimate threshold , and unselected model (No selection).

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Table 4.

Urine osmolarity example: incorporating model uncertainty into standard error (SE) estimates of urine osmolarity UOSM.

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