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Figure 1.

Flow chart of the methodology used to derive coffee productivity indices and predicted Arabica coffee yields.

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Table 1.

Weighted environmental criteria for evaluating the qualitative Arabica coffee productivity classes and scores (1 to 5 for worst to best)a.

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Table 2.

Distribution of Arabica coffee areas (ha) and yields (t ha−1) calculated from the coffee database for 2005 for the ten agro-ecological zones of Rwanda.

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Table 3.

Distribution of soil types (ha) and areas of Arabica coffee cultivation in the ten agro-ecological zones of Rwanda.

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Table 4.

Distribution of soil types (ha) and areas of Arabica coffee cultivation in the ten agro-ecological zones of Rwanda (Cont'd).

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Table 5.

Distribution of slope classes (%) and areas with Arabica coffee in the ten agro-ecological zones of Rwanda.

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Figure 2.

Qualitative Arabica coffee productivity indices (low, moderate, and high) generated by combining factors (elevation, slope, soil type, rainfall, and temperature) using weighted overlay analysis in the ten agro-ecological zones.

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Figure 3.

Potential Arabica coffee yield (t ha−1) predicted using ordinary kriging in the ten agro-ecological zones based on actual yields (t ha−1) measured at sample sites.

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Figure 4.

Relationship between measured and predicted Arabica coffee yields – cross validation using ordinary kriging (Predicted Arabica coffee yield index – CYI (t ha−1) = 0.71x + 0.33; Mean Prediction Error – MPE = 0.0187; Root Mean Square Prediction Error – RMSE = 0.278; Root Mean Square Standardized Prediction Error – RMSSE = 0.99; Mean Standardized Prediction Error - MSE = 0.036; Coefficient of determination – R2 = 0.73; Average Standard Error –Avg. SE = 0.291; Sample points, n = 121).

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Figure 5.

Soil map of Rwanda.

Soils are classified using the USDA Soil taxonomy (Source: Data collected from the Ministry of Agriculture and Animal Resources, using the Rwanda soil database) after [32].

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