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Table 1.

Description of potential predictors, Rakai, 2003–2011.

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Table 2.

Characteristics of Sexually active Participants, Rakai Cohort, 2003–2011.

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Table 3.

Association between variables and HIV acquisition by Gender, Rakai, Uganda 2003–2011: Unadjusted analyses.

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Table 4.

Multivariable Associations between variables and HIV acquisition by Gender, Rakai, Uganda 2003–2011.

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Figure 1.

Cumulative HIV incidence by predicted quartile of HIV risk score for sexually active men.

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Figure 2.

Cumulative HIV incidence by predicted quartile of HIV risk score for sexually active women.

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Figure 3.

Observed vs predicted probabilities of being HIV-free at 4 years of follow-up.

The figure provides bias-corrected calibration of the men's prediction model.

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Figure 3 Expand

Figure 4.

Observed vs predicted probabilities of being HIV-free at 4 years of follow-up.

The figure provides bias-corrected calibration of the women's prediction model.

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Figure 4 Expand

Figure 5.

Nomogram of HIV risk for sexually active men developed using the Rakai cohort, Uganda 2003–2011.

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Figure 6.

Nomogram of HIV risk for sexually active women developed using the Rakai cohort, Uganda 2003–2011.

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Table 5.

Proportion of Cumulative Incidence Contributed by Different Definitions of Most-at-risk status.

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