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Figure 1.

Distribution of blasting boreholes and the scheme of detonation order.

There are four intervals of blasting, with delayed firing of 25

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Table 1.

Main technical characteristics of blasting boreholes at one mine location at “Suva Vrela” quarry. Data recorded at this site are used for surrogate data analysis.*

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Figure 2.

Longitudinal, transversal and vertical component of velocity time histories recorded at measuring points MM-1, MM-2 and MM-3.

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Table 2.

Recorded ground velocity at three different distances from the blasting source for the borehole distribution given in Figure 1 and Table 1. *

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Table 3.

Different conventional predictors.*

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Table 4.

Statistical error parameters used for models' evaluation. *

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Figure 3.

Surrogate data test for the second null hypothesis.

Zeroth-order prediction error for the ground velocity recordings at the following measuring points: (a) MM-1 (L, T and V), (b) MM-2 (L, T and V), (c) MM-3 (L, T and V). In all the examined cases, ε0>ε, so the null hypothesis cannot be rejected in neither of the examined velocity recordings. Red line denotes the zeroth-order prediction for the original time series (ε0), and black lines denote zeroth-order prediction for the surrogates (ε). Abbreviations L, T and V stand for longitudinal, transversal and vertical component of the recorded ground velocity, respectively.

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Figure 4.

Surrogate data test for the third null hypothesis (AAFT).

Zeroth-order prediction error for the ground velocity recordings at the following measuring points: (a) MM-1 (L, T and V), (b) MM-2 (L, T and V), (c) MM-3 (L, T and V). It is clear that ε0>ε for the vertical velocity component at MM-2, and for the longitudinal and transversal velocity component at MM-3, for prediction steps n>4. In all the other cases, ε0, allowing us to reject the null hypothesis. Red line denotes the zeroth-order prediction for the original time series, and black lines denote zeroth-order prediction for the surrogates.

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Figure 5.

Surrogate data test for the third null hypothesis (iterated AAFT surrogates).

Zeroth-order prediction error for the ground velocity recordings at the following measuring points: (a) MM-1 (L, T and V), (b) MM-2 (L, T and V), (c) MM-3 (L, T and V). In all the examined cases, except for the vertical velocity component at MM-3, ε0>ε, so the null hypothesis could not be rejected for all of the examined velocity recordings. Red line denotes the zeroth-order prediction for the original time series, and black lines denote zeroth-order prediction for the surrogates.

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Figure 6.

Determinism test for velocity recordings at measuring points: a) MM-1, b) MM-2 and c) MM-3.

Squares, circles and triangles denote longitudinal, transversal and vertical component of the velocity, respectively. The values of determinism factor κ are given for the embedding dimension in range m = 2–10. It is evident that κ≤0,81, indicating the absence of deterministic behavior.

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Figure 7.

Resultant PPV versus scaled-distance relationship for different conventional predictors: (a) USBM, (b) Langefors-Kihlstrom, (c) General predictor, (d) Ambraseys-Hendron, (e) CMRI.

Note that coefficients A and B for General predictor were determined using multiple regression approach.

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Figure 8.

Measured PPV vs. predicted PPV by conventional predictors: (a) USBM, (b) Langefors-Kihlstrom, (c) General predictor, (d) Ambraseys-Hendron, (e) CMRI. It is clear that each of the predictor gives rather low coefficient of determination, in the range R2 = 0.54–0.66.

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Table 5.

Calculated values of site constants for conventional predictors.

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Table 6.

Input-output parameters for the ANN training and their range.

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Figure 9.

Measured PPV vs. predicted PPV by ANN predictor, with high coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.94).

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Figure 10.

Global sensitivity analysis of input parameters.

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Figure 11.

Comparison of predicted PPV by different predictors. Abbreviations AH, GP and LK stand for Ambraseys-Hendron, General Predictor and Langefors-Kihlstrom, respectively.

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Table 7.

Performances of different models for predicting PPV using statistical error parameters given in Table 4.

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