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Figure 1.

Map of study localities.

A map of the districts of the city of Machala, El Oro Province, Ecuador, indicating the location of the study areas and the meteorological station.

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Figure 2.

Climate in Machala, Ecuador.

The climatology of Machala (November to June, 1986–2009 average) compared to the weather during the study period for (A) temperature and (B) monthly rainfall.

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Table 1.

Socio-ecological factors hypothesized to influence presence of Aedes aegypti in households.

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Table 2.

Parameters in the top-ranked logistic models to predict the presence of Aedes aegypti in each season.

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Figure 3.

Aedes aegypti pupae per container type by location and season.

Percentage of all pupae collected from abandoned, domestic-use, and other types of containers (i.e., decorative, animal drinking water) in pupae surveys conducted during pre-rainy, rainy, and post-rainy seasons in the (A) central study area (CA), (B) peripheral study area (PA), and (C) both localities combined in Machala, Ecuador.

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Figure 4.

Aedes aegypti oviposition dynamics predicted by lagged local climate.

Time series of observed and predicted (95% CI) log eggs/ovitrap/week over the study period (Nov. 2010 to June 2011) from the best-fit models for the (A) peripheral area (PA) and (B) central area (CA).

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Table 3.

Local climate parameters and lags in the best-fit model for Aedes aegypti ovitrap abundance data for both localities combined, for the central area (CA) and peripheral area (PA).

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Figure 5.

Climatic and social factors interact to influence seasonal dengue risk.

A synthesis of the important socio-ecological predictors for the presence of Aedes aegypti during rainy and post-rainy (dry) seasons in Machala, Ecuador.

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