Figure 1.
Maps of potential distribution.
Climatic suitability ranges from “low” (light purple) to “excellent” (dark purple). (a) Current climatic conditions (b) Consensus model of 6 future climatic scenarios (3 GCM×2 SRES) for 2020, (c) 2050 and (d) 2080.
Figure 2.
a+b Distribution and proportion of suitable landmass under current climatic conditions among six biogeographic regions.
Figure 3.
Change in suitable landmass over time relative to the currently suitable landmass.
The boxplot represents variation of projections across six future climatic scenarios, each based on a different combination of Global Climate Model×CO2 emission scenario, per time horizon (± s.d). The red line indicates the value of the consensus model.
Figure 4.
Differences in suitable climatic conditions between the current climate and the consensus projection in 2080.
(a) Net gains (red), losses (blue) and stable range (yellow), (b) Relative differences in suitability : red colors indicate improved climatic suitability (light to dark red gradient indicates the relative change in suitability), blue colors indicate deteriorated climatic suitability for P. chinensis.