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Figure 1.

Schematic representation of the joint probability model structure.

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Figure 2.

Predictors of cardiac syncope in the derivation populations.

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Figure 3.

Receiver-operator curves (ROC) of the predicted probabilities against the actual outcome, for each dataset.

Model results are shown using all available variables (closed triangles, solid line), for a parsimonious model using only variables common to all datasets (age, gender, structural heart disease, number of spells, and prodromal symptoms; open circles, short dashed line), and for a model using data resampled to create standard distributions of number of spells and age (categorical; open inverted triangles).

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Figure 3 Expand

Figure 4.

Predicted probability of cardiac syncope (median, inter-quartile range [box], 10-90th percentile [whiskers] and outliers [crosses]) using three sampling methods.

The full model includes all patients with a final diagnosis of cardiac syncope (C) and non-cardiac syncope (NC) using the full model; the parsimonious model uses only the 5 variables common to all datasets; and the resampled model uses resampled data with standardized distributions of age and number of spells.

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Figure 4 Expand