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Figure 1.

Map showing the locations of cities with time-series data on the 1832 cholera epidemic available in Amariah Brigham’s A Treatise on Epidemic Cholera.

New York and Philadelphia are not shown.

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Figure 1 Expand

Table 1.

Cholera Cases and Deaths in Selected Cities, 1832.

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Table 1 Expand

Table 2.

Weekly cholera case counts in various European cities, 1832.

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Table 2 Expand

Table 3.

Daily cholera case counts in Philadelphia and New York, 1832.

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Table 3 Expand

Figure 2.

Selected curve fits of Richards curve to cumulative case count of cholera in the cities of (a) Lemberg (Lviv) and (b) Petersburgh (St. Petersburgh) reported in Brigham’s A Treatise on Epidemic Cholera.

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Figure 3.

Selected curve fits of Richards curve to cumulative case count of cholera in the cities of (a) Dantzig (Gdansk) and (b) Stettin (Szczecin) reported in Brigham’s A Treatise on Epidemic Cholera.

Results show poorer fits of the data with a single-wave outbreak model, whereas a two-wave outbreak model yielded better fits.

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Figure 3 Expand

Table 4.

Model-Estimated R0, Expected Final Size of Epidemic, and Percentage of Asymptomatic or Unrecognized Cases.

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Table 4 Expand