Table 1.
Resident species names and number of presence records.
Table 2.
Migratory species names and number of presence records.
Table 3.
The order of AUC values, variable contributions, and indication times for each variable that show the most relevancy for a resident species.
Table 4.
The order of AUC values, variable contributions, and indication times for each variable that show the most relevancy for a migratory species.
Figure 1.
Maps of the current distribution patterns of the a. 20 resident b. nine summer migrant species analyzed in our study.
Figure 2.
Maps of species richness change (negative values indicate grids with species lost; positive values indicate grids with species gained) under different time periods and scenarios for a. resident species b. migratory species.
Figure 3.
Expansion/contraction pattern of the species by years in scenario a. resident species, A2a b. resident species, B2a c. migratory species, A2a d. migratory species, B2a (the bars above zero point indicate expansion of species).
Bar heights were determined by calculating the total grid area of a species’ predicted presence for both the current and future time periods. Bars above or below the x-axis represent the expansion or contraction in the distribution area of a particular species, respectively.
Figure 4.
Proportional range shift area between projected models and the current potential distribution (the vertical bar indicates maximum and minimum values registered for a resident bird species within each group; outliers show the portion of maximum expansion shift for a species).
a. under scenario A2a for resident species. b. under scenario B2a for resident species. c. under scenario A2a for migratory species. d. under scenario B2a for migratory species.
Figure 5.
The change of occupied area throughout the time periods in relation to area currently occupied by species (the vertical bar indicates maximum and minimum values registered for a bird species within each group).
a. under scenario A2a for resident species. b. under scenario B2a for resident species. c. under scenario A2a for migratory species. d. under scenario B2a for migratory species.
Figure 6.
Average percentage of occupied area that is expected to host the same species in all timelines (the vertical lines indicate standard deviation).
a. under scenario A2a for resident species. b. under scenario B2a for resident species. c. under scenario A2a for migratory species. d. under scenario B2a for migratory species.
Table 5.
The range shift of individual species for the different time periods based on centroid calculations (km).