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Figure 1.

Current dominant land use around each National Wildlife Refuge in the contiguous 48 states.

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Figure 2.

Box plots showing the variability in each land use across the scales of analysis for different land-use classes (row 1), and the maximum difference among scales in proportion of land in each use around the National Wildlife Refuges (row 2).

Plots in row 2 compare conditions in 2001 (in white) with those in 2051 for each scenario (BAU = business-as-usual, PNH = preserve-natural-habitats, RUG = restricted-urban-growth).

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Table 1.

Percent of National Wildlife Refuges dominated by different land-use categories, at three different scales (buffer distances) and the proportion of each use category on all private lands nationwide.

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Table 2.

Land area (million ha) and percent areain different land uses within 25 km of the National Wildlife Refuges in 2001 and 2051 under each scenario.

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Figure 3.

Initial land use and change in forest/range land use within 25 km of refuges under the different scenarios.

Absolute change = change in area (ha), buffer change = percent of buffer that changes use, and rate of change = percent growth.

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Figure 4.

Initial land use and change in crop/pasture land use under the different scenarios.

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Figure 5.

Initial land use and change in urban land use under the different scenarios.

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Figure 6.

Regional predictions for the percentage of area within 25 km of refuges that will change under the different scenarios.

Inset shows FWS administrative regions.

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Figure 7.

Change in area in different land uses and rates of change among the different scenarios for the FWS administrative regions.

FR is forest/range, CP is crop/pasture, and U is urban land use.

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