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Figure 1.

Schematic illustration of the experimental scheme for the prediction of osteogenic differentiation potential using multiple and time-course morphological features.

hBMSCs were cultured in non-induction medium in first 4 days, then the medium was replaced with osteogenic induction medium only for the Induction sample. From day 0 to day 14, cell images were automatically acquired by BioStation CT every 8 hours. ALP activity and calcium deposition rates were evaluated on days 14 and 21, respectively. Using multiple morphological features covering 2 weeks culture, two types of hBMSC osteogenic differentiation evaluation results were predicted by individual prediction models.

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Figure 2.

Experimentally determined biological results after the osteogenic differentiation.

A: Experimentally determined ALP activity rate on day 14 of differentiation. B: Experimentally determined calcium deposition rate on day 21 of differentiation.

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Figure 3.

Phase contrast raw image from BioStation CT and its processed image.

The images of beginning (day 1), middle (day 3 and 7), and the end (day 13) in the induction period of Lot 1 are indicated as examples. Raw images were binarized with MetaMorph.

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Figure 4.

Time series changes of characteristic morphological features.

From the 9 morphological features measured, elliptical form factor (A) and fiber breadth (B) of Lot 1 are indicated as representative examples. The symbols indicate the mean value of each morphological feature from all cells in one condition (3 wells ×5 view fields). Roughly, 4,000 to 40,000 cells were measured for the mean. Standard deviations are shown as error bars.

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Figure 5.

Schematic illustration of two scenarios examined to simulate clinical feasibility.

A: (Scenario I) New patient prediction scheme: Trained by historical patient dataset only. Images from all passages of patient 3 were used for prediction. B: (Scenario II) Ongoing patient prediction scheme: Trained by historical patient datasets and a partial dataset from the new patient. For example, for the prediction of cell potential of patient 3, Scheme I uses images of patient 1 and 2 only. Scheme II used images of patient 1 and 2, together with some images from patient 3.

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Figure 6.

Prediction accuracies in the new patient scheme.

A: Scatter plot of experimentally determined values versus predicted values in D14_ALP model, B: Scatter plot of experimentally determined values versus predicted values in D21_Ca model.

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Figure 7.

Detailed prediction results in new patient scheme.

A: Prediction results and error range in the D14_ALP model. B: Prediction results and error range in the D21_Ca model. All the plotted data were rearranged in the order of experimental values.

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Table 1.

Prediction accuracy of Ridge regression models for osteogenic differentiation status of hBMSCs.

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Figure 8.

Prediction accuracies in the ongoing patient scheme.

A: Scatter plot of experimentally determined values versus predicted values in D14_ALP model, B: Scatter plot of experimentally determined values versus predicted values in D21_Ca model.

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Figure 9.

Detailed prediction results in ongoing patient scheme.

A: prediction results and error range in the D14_ALP model. B: Prediction results and error range in the D21_Ca model. All the plotted data were rearranged in the order of experimental values.

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Table 2.

Prediction accuracy of Redge regression models with elimination of each individual features for ALP activity rate.

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Table 3.

Prediction accuracy of Redge regression models with elimination of each individual features for calcium deposition rate.

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Figure 10.

A: Schematic illustration of cell image processing.

The raw images were first pre-processed by background reduction processing by deconvolution and open-close filters. Then, images were binarized by the optimized threshold. The noisy objects were eliminated by particle deletion filter. B: Schematic illustration of cell morphology measurements and data processing. In all object recognized images, all existing objects were measured for the 9 morphological features. Since 1 condition was designed to consist of 3 wells ×5 view fields, all the corresponding object measurement results were processed as a same sample. The average and standard deviation within one sample of all morphological features at each time point were used as the input features for modeling. C: Schematic illustration of prediction model construction. Prediction of differentiation potential consisted of two steps. First, two types of prediction models (D14_ALP model or D21_Ca model) were constructed with the set of image data and experimental evaluation. Second, the values of D14_ALP or the D21_Ca were predicted from the input features of the sample targeted for prediction. The predicted biological rates are compared to the experimentally-determined results to evaluate the accuracy of prediction model.

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