Figure 1.
Flowchart of stages on analysis and data inputs used in this study.
Flowchart of stages on analysis and data inputs used in spatial conservation planning approach designed to the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot, Brazil, in the face of climate change.
Figure 2.
Different amphibian richness patterns for current and future climates in the Atlantic Forest, Brazil.
Patterns of amphibian species richness projected by ecological niche models generated from different modeling methods (GLM, GAM, MARS, GARP, RF, and MaxEnt), and climate models (AOGCMs) both for current time and the year 2080 in the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot, Brazil.
Figure 3.
Consensus species richness patterns for current and future climates in the Atlantic Forest, Brazil.
Consensus maps of amphibian species richness patterns for current time (A), and the year 2080 (B). Uncertainty level associated to ensemble of ecological niche models (C), and spatial patterns of species turnover (D) in the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot, Brazil.
Figure 4.
Priority sites for amphibian species conservation in the Atlantic Forest, Brazil.
Top 17% of cell that should be prioritized if conservation of amphibian species inhabiting the Atlantic Forest Hotspot, Brazil, is planned for the present (A), future (B), and if we consider species climate-forced dispersal (from present to future, C). A full combination of these solutions is shown in Fig. 4D.
Figure 5.
Performance curves of different spatial conservation solutions under climate change.
Performance of conservation plans for amphibian species inhabiting the Atlantic Forest Hotspot, Brazil. Line colored in magenta represents the prioritization considering species climate-forced dispersal and model uncertainties. Blue and yellow lines stand, respectively, for the prioritizations based on current and future species distribution models. Colors as in Fig. 4.