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Figure 1.

Example of estimating confidence intervals.

In this example, we estimated the confidence intervals of instances. The left-hand plot shows the confidence interval widths and the corresponding absolute errors. The corresponding CEC equals . Although the CEC is not very large, it is possible to see an increased number of small confidence intervals for predictions with a low error. In the right-hand plot, the estimated confidence interval borders are displayed. In addition, every prediction defined by its prediction error and its normalized confidence score is depicted by a red circle. On average, the absolute error is smaller for predictions with a high and a small confidence interval.

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Figure 1 Expand

Table 1.

Performance of confidence estimators on artificial data with different properties.

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Table 1 Expand

Table 2.

Performance of confidence estimators on biological datasets.

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Table 2 Expand