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Table 1.

Prognostic Scoring Systems.

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Table 2.

Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with laboratory confirmed influenza in TIBDN hospitals, 2005–2007.

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Figure 1.

PSI score: observed and predicted mortality in quartile groups.

Observed (black) and predicted (grey) in-hospital mortality are similar within quartiles defined by the PSI score. In the lowest quartile (patients with PSI<80), in-hospital mortality was low (<5%).

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Figure 2.

MEDS score: observed and predicted mortality in quartile groups.

Observed (black) and predicted (grey) in-hospital mortality are similar within quartiles defined by the PSI. In the lowest quartile (patients with PSI<80), in-hospital mortality was low (<5%).

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Table 3.

AUC and Hosmer Lemeshow Goodness of Fit Test for the prediction of in-hospital mortality.

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Table 4.

Sensitivity and Specificity of scores for the identification of patients at low risk of death (predicted probability death <5%).

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Figure 3.

SMARTCOP: observed and predicted ICU admission in quartile groups.

Observed (black) and predicted (grey) ICU admission are similar within quartiles defined by SMARTCOP. In the quartile (patients with SMARTCOP<3), the incidence of ICU admission was low (<5%).

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Table 5.

AUC and Hosmer Lemeshow Goodness of Fit Test for the prediction of the need for ICU admission.

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Table 6.

Sensitivity and Specificity of scores for the identification of patients at low risk of ICU admission (predicted probability ICU admission <5%).

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Table 7.

Prediction of in-hospital mortality with fatal cases not admitted to ICU excluded.

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Table 8.

Prediction of ICU admission with fatal cases not admitted to ICU excluded.

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