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Figure 1.

Conceptual model of important risk factors affecting malaria prevalence in the African Highlands.

Factors are regrouped in 3 main classes (environmental factors: green label, biological factors: grey label and human related factors: blue label). Dependant variables included in the CART analysis are displayed in red and predictor variables are highlighted in white.

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Figure 1 Expand

Table 1.

Dependant and predictor variables introduced in the CART analysis.

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Table 1 Expand

Figure 2.

Classification trees representing the important risk factors for malaria prevalence.

The high risk groups are displayed in red. In each node 0 stands for negative slide and 1 for positive slide. The following variables were selected by the tree as important risk factors: Anopheles density (Ano-density) with a cut off of 1.5 Anopheles per house; Survey number 1 to 11; Housing (1,2 = poorest housing condition and 3,4 highest housing condition); Age with a cut off of 38 years old.

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Figure 2 Expand

Table 2.

Ranking of predictor variables for malaria prevalence by their overall power as discriminant.

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Table 2 Expand

Figure 3.

Regression trees representing the important risk factors for the Anopheles density per/house (Ano_density).

The selected splitting variables (Minimum temperature the previous month = T°min-1; Distance of the houses to the marsh with a cut off of 500 metres; Area sprayed or not; Monthly rainfall in the current month with a cut off of 96.2 mm) are shown in the nodes.

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Figure 3 Expand

Table 3.

Ranking of predictor variables for Anopheles density by their overall power as discriminant.

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Table 3 Expand