Global, regional, and national burden of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease among adults aged ≥ 45 years: A comprehensive analysis of epidemiological trends and projections to 2035
Fig 7
BAPC Projections of NAFLD Burden to 2035.
A–B: Incidence rates projected to rise, with women consistently higher (826.11 vs. 665.72 per 100,000 by 2035). C–D: Mortality rates declining more sharply in women (11.97% reduction) than men (9.60%). E–F: DALY rates decreasing, with steeper declines in women (10.88% vs. 9.98% in men). Abbreviations: BAPC, Bayesian age-period-cohort modeling. Dashed lines represent Projections; shaded areas represent 95% uncertainty intervals.