Stochastic virtual population in type 1 diabetes
Fig 2
24h-long sample from the dataset (CGM, meal intake, insulin, physical activity) for prior predictive checks.
Colored lines are random samples from the prior predictive distribution. a) The prior predictive distribution spans the 0-400 mg/dL physiologically relevant space. b) Prior predictive distribution when conditioning on zero insulin and meal intake. Glucose in such scenarios is expected to rise to approximately 400 mg/dL where ketones are dominantly produced, and renal excretion is also active.