Sickness absence rates in NHS England staff during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from multivariate regression and time series modelling
Fig 6
COVID-19 related absence as a multivariate regression model of new hospitalisations and ONS estimated COVID-19 positivity.
(a) Timeseries of modelled values for 2020–2022 (dashed grey) with 95% confidence interval (grey, shaded), predictions for 2022 (dashed blue) with 95% prediction interval (blue, shaded), and observed sickness absence trend (solid black). (c) Scatter plot of modelled values against the observed values. Black line is theoretical line of equality (modelled = observed).