Probability of consolidation constrains novel serotype emergence in dengue fever virus
Fig 2
The peri-urban ↔ sylvatic exchange simulation results.
This simulation calculates 500 different scenarios for a population of 100 000 humans that live in peri-urban areas and are in contact with the forest (with a density of 1 mosquito per human). The peri-urban ↔ sylvatic probability of dengue transmission ratio (PUSDTR) are measured. PUSDTR = (probability of dengue to be carried from the urban area to the forest)/(probability of dengue to be carried from the forest to the urban area).