Poverty in the time of epidemic: A modelling perspective
Fig 5
Simulated system outcomes for contact rate reduction scenario.
Yellow line represents overall population; dashed blue line represents poor population; dashed green line represents non-poor population; and thin black line represents non-intervention scenario for comparison. a: Current proportion of population infected over time on ER graph. Peak overall caseload is lower than non-intervention scenario with poor population having a higher peak than non-poor, but we see a second peak post intervention, where non-poor are also affected. b: Cumulative proportion of population infected over time on ER graph. Cumulative infected is lower than under non-intervention, but the poor suffer a much higher cumulative infection rate than the non-poor (68% v. 61%). c: Current proportion of population infected over time on BA graph. Poor have higher peak than non-poor, but overall peak is lower than under non-intervention. d: Cumulative proportion of population infected over time on BA graph. Poor have much higher cumulative infection rate than the non-poor (88% v. 81%).