Applying particle filtering in both aggregated and age-structured population compartmental models of pre-vaccination measles
Fig 10
2D histogram of predicting from the end of an outbreak of the minimum discrepancy model.
(a) predicted from the month 138, with monthly prediction discrepancy 302.6, and the sum of yearly prediction discrepancy of all age groups per month is 248.0. (b) predicted from the month 201, with monthly prediction discrepancy 316.7, and the sum of yearly prediction discrepancy of all age groups per month is 217.3.