Applying particle filtering in both aggregated and age-structured population compartmental models of pre-vaccination measles
Fig 9
2D histogram of predicting from the peak of an outbreak of the minimum discrepancy model.
(a) predicted from the month 242, with monthly prediction discrepancy 305.7, and the sum of yearly prediction discrepancy of all age groups per month is 205.2. (b) predicted from the month 312, with monthly prediction discrepancy 306.9, and the sum of yearly prediction discrepancy of all age groups per month is 201.6.