Prediction of cross-border spread of the COVID-19 pandemic: A predictive model for imported cases outside China

• Ying Wang ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Ying Wang, Fang Yuan, Yueqian Song

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft

  Affiliations Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China, School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China, Department of Preventive Medicine, Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, China

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• Fang Yuan ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Ying Wang, Fang Yuan, Yueqian Song

  Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Software, Visualization, Writing – original draft

  Affiliation Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China

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• Yueqian Song ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Ying Wang, Fang Yuan, Yueqian Song

  Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision

  Affiliation Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China

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• Huaxiang Rao,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Preventive Medicine, Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, China

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6388-8276

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• Lili Xiao,

  Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation

  Affiliation Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China

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• Huilin Guo,

  Roles Methodology, Validation

  Affiliation Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China

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• Xiaolong Zhang,

  Roles Formal analysis, Validation

  Affiliation Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China

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• Mufan Li,

  Roles Investigation

  Affiliation School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China

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• Jiayu Wang,

  Roles Investigation

  Affiliation School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China

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• Yi zhou Ren,

  Roles Investigation

  Affiliation School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China

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• Jie Tian ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: jzyang@aliyun.com (JY); tianjie790808@163.com (JT)

  Affiliation Science and Technology Research Center of China Customs, Beijing, China

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• Jianzhou Yang

  Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: jzyang@aliyun.com (JY); tianjie790808@163.com (JT)

  Affiliation Department of Preventive Medicine, Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, China

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5354-2290

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